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Mitigation: general background
from the IPCC The following is taken from
the IPCC Working group III report on
Mitigation.
Mitigation entails all human
interventions that reduce the sources or enhance
the sinks of greenhouse gases (adapted from the
IPCC definition). When considering options for
mitigation activity, certain key factors should
be recognised and these have been described by
the IPCC as the 'nature of the mitigation
challenge':
1. Climate change is a
problem with unique characteristics: it is
global, long-term and involves complex
interactions between climatic, environmental,
economic, political, institutional, social and
technological processes. Developing a response
to it involves decision-making under uncertainty
and risk.
2. Alternative development
paths can result in very different greenhouse
gas emissions. The type, magnitude, timing and
costs of mitigation depend on different national
circumstances and socio-economic and
technological development paths and the desired
level of greenhouse gas stabilisation in the
atmosphere. Important to note is that
development paths leading to low emissions
depend on a wide range of policy choices and
require major policy changes in areas other than
climate change.
3. Climate change
mitigation will both be affected by, and have
impacts on, broader socio-economic policies and
trends, such as those relating to development,
sustainability and equity.
4. Differences
in the distribution of technological, natural
and financial resources among and within nations
and regions, and between generations, as well as
differences in mitigation costs, are often key
considerations in the analysis of climate change
mitigation options. Much of the debate about the
future differentiation of contributions of
countries to mitigation and related equity
issues also considers these
circumstances.
5. Lower emissions
scenarios require different patterns of energy
resource development. If lower emissions are to
be achieved, it is likely that this will require
a change in the energy mix and the introduction
of new sources of energy during the 21st
century. The choice of energy mix and associated
investment will determine whether (and if so, at
what level and cost), greenhouse concentrations
can be stabilized. Currently most such
investment is directed towards discovering and
developing more conventional and unconventional
fossil resources.
More information can be
gained from the full IPCC
Working Group III report on
mitigation
Mitigation - in South
Africa
As a developing country, South
Africa is not obliged to reduce its emissions of
greenhouse gases. Thus, most work done in this
area has been in exploratory studies.
The
South African Country Studies Programme:
Mitigating Options Project, investigated
possible mitigating options that could be
implemented and the impact of thee options and
scenarios on the macro-economic situation in
South Africa. The outcome of this project is
intended to assist policy makers in developing
future strategies, and to highlight
opportunities for the development and
improvement of efficiency and skills, especially
in the sphere of technology transfer. The future
approach to reducing emissions will be based on
a holistic evaluation of the options taking into
account life-cycle assessments, the impact of
implementing the options on the macro-economy,
as well as other national priorities.
Mitigation issues across the following
sectors are discussed below: Electricity; Liquid
Fuels and Gas; Commercial and Residential;
Transport; Mining; Industrial.
Electricity The energy sector
is the largest single source of greenhouse gases
in South Africa. Integrated energy planning at
the national level should ensure the optimum
overall mix of energy sources, with clean coal
technologies expected to be part of such a mix
for the medium-term future. Technologies
currently being investigated include:
- Renewable energy sources (such as
hydroelectric power, wind power, solar power and
biomass)
- Non-greenhouse gas emitting
energy sources – such as nuclear power.
Technologies are also being
investigated and developed to make coal power
stations less polluting and more efficient.
Peaks in electricity demand can also be
reduced by management of the demand for energy
and providing electricity more efficiently – by
introducing new supply technologies and
adjusting pricing policies. There is also
potential for importing energy, such as gas and
hydroelectricity, from other countries in the
region.
A White Paper on the Promotion
of Renewable Energy and Clean Energy Development
is being drafted in order to present and discuss
the Government’s goals and objectives for
renewable energy.
White Paper on Renewable Energy This
policy commits the government to a number of
enabling actions to ensure that renewable energy
becomes a significant part of its energy
portfolio over the next ten years.
Liquid Fuels, Natural Gas and
Synthetic Gas Mitigating options were
considered for both the refining of crude oil
and the production of synthetic fuel. One
mitigating option would be to import refined
petroleum products and not to build additional
refinery capacity. It is estimated that during
the period 2000 – 2030, a total reduction of 103
331 Gg of carbon dioxide equivalent could be
achieved with this mitigating option. In the
synthetic fuel production industry, the
substitution of 10% coal consumption with
natural gas would result in a total reduction of
168 331 Gg of carbon dioxide equivalent.
Commercial and
Residential Mitigation in the commercial
and residential sectors mainly involves using
energy more efficiently or fuel switching. The
most effective option to reduce emissions in the
residential sector is to convert to solar
heating which would achieve a total reduction of
88 000 Gg of CO2 during the period 2000 – 2030.
In the commercial sector, the greatest reduction
of emissions could be achieved by the
implementation of energy efficient buildings,
achieving a total reduction of 88 000 Gg over a
thirty year period.
Transport At present the
transport sector accounts of 1/10 of South
Africa’s greenhouse gas emissions. It is
expected that a greater impact in reducing
greenhouse gas emissions will be achieved by
implementing a range of mitigating options
rather than introducing only one of the options.
For example, over a period of 30 years:
imposition of a fuel tax would achieve a total
reduction of 45 498 Gg; improved fuel
efficiencies would reduce emissions by approx
143 000 Gg; fuel switching could reduce
emissions by 148 225 Gg; travel demand
management could reduce emissions by 33 854 Gg;
mode switching could reduce emissions by 42
856Gg.
Mining In the coal
industry, methane emissions are directly linked
to the volume of coal mined and the methods used
in the mining. Mitigation can be achieved either
by reducing the emissions at source or removing
the emitted material before it escapes into the
environment. Possible options for reducing these
emissions include: adopting higher extraction
ratios; underground and ash filling; extraction
of remnant pillars; improved coal washing;
improved combustion technology to burn discards;
removal of emitted methane prior to mining;
catalytic combustion of methane.
Industrial Potential
mitigating options considered feasible for
implementation during the period up to 2030 in
the industrial sector include the following
initiatives:
- Cement Industry: this industry has already
started to reduce emissions by implementing a
strategy of using industrial waste products in
combination with cement and reducing energy
consumption. Energy savings can also be achieved
with the addition of a high efficiency
classifier that separates out the fine products
and thus prevents over-grinding. The cement
industry expects to see the clinker content of
all cementations binders used in 2030 to be
about 60%
- Ferroalloys: Optimisation of the process
conditions could result in a maximum reduction
of emissions by 3.5% by the year 2015. The long
terms option is to recover the carbon monoxide
off-gas from the furnace to pre-heat the raw
materials or to generate electricity. The
maximum reduction efficiency with this option
would be 7%.
- Chemical Industry: It is expected that new
production technology will become cleaner
technology that will minimize greenhouse gases.
Energy consumption in this sector is receiving
attention and improvements in energy efficiency
may be possible, particularly at the level of
steam production.
- Pulp and Paper: Upgrading or replacing
recovery boilers increases the boiler capacity
and the energy values of higher black-liquor
solids. More feasible options include efficiency
improvements (e.g. long-nip press) and recycling
of paper.
- Aluminium Industry: Substituting raw
materials with secondary materials (recycled
material) can reduce energy consumption during
the production of aluminium by up to
95%.
Agricultural Options
for mitigation in this sector include:
optimization of herd composition and feed intake
(this could achieve a reduction of 207 756 Gg);
manure management (this could reduce emissions
by 49 817 Gg); reduced burning of agricultural
residues (this could reduce emissions by 9 120
Gg); reduced frequency of fires (this could
rescue emissions by 22 200 Gg); promoting
savannah thickening (this could reduce emissions
by 237 000 Gg); and increasing forestation
(this could reduce emissions by 116 100 Gg).
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